KalshiOpenCrypto

BTC price up in next 15 mins?

BTC 15 min · $78,027.02 target

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

30.5%

30.5¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $125K
Total volume: $616K
Liquidity: $1,829
Open interest: 242,200
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 1, 12:15 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

12:10 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $1,937 at 64%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
BTC price up in next 15 mins?Crypto · Kalshi ↗	12:10 ET2 h ago	No sell	64.0%	3.0K	$1,937	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:15 PM EST on Nov 1, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12:00 PM EST on November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.

Source: https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/

Related markets

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.