KalshiOpenSports

Boise St. wins by over 30.5 points

Texas St. vs Boise St.: Spread

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
1.0%
1.0¢ per contract
1 hour
0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours
−12.0 pts down
7 days
—
Kalshi
Boise St. wins by over 30.5 points implied probability. Kalshi moved from 26% to 1%. Times shown in EDT.0%20%40%60%80%100%00:25 ET00:40 ET00:55 ET01:10 ET01:25 ET$4,185 NO at 93.0%

Market statistics

24h volume
$230K
Total volume
$213K
Liquidity
$1.00
Open interest
149,473
Spread
—
Best bid / ask
—
Closes
Nov 2, 21:00 ET
Status
open
Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
1.0¢66K
2.0¢50
3.0¢1.5K
6.0¢6.8K
9.0¢24K
10.0¢1.0K
12.0¢1
13.0¢1
Buy NO (asks)
No resting size

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
  1. Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,385 at 53%
  2. Large Kalshi NO execution: $2,610 at 58%
  3. Large Kalshi NO execution: $2,071 at 58%
  4. Large Kalshi NO execution: $4,185 at 93%
  5. Kalshi moves 26% → 1%

Largest recent trades

By notional value
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Boise St. wins by over 30.5 pointsSports · Kalshi ↗00:32 ET2 h agoNo sell93.0%4.5K$4,185———Normal
Boise St. wins by over 30.5 pointsSports · Kalshi ↗00:11 ET2 h agoNo sell58.0%3.6K$2,071———Normal
Boise St. wins by over 30.5 pointsSports · Kalshi ↗00:11 ET2 h agoNo sell58.0%4.5K$2,610———Normal
Boise St. wins by over 30.5 pointsSports · Kalshi ↗00:10 ET2 h agoYes buy53.0%4.5K$2,385———Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.