KalshiOpenSports

Boise St. wins by over 20.5 points

Texas St. vs Boise St.: Spread

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

4.5%

4.5¢ per contract

1 hour: −42.5 pts down
24 hours: −25.5 pts down
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $250K
Total volume: $181K
Liquidity: $3.00
Open interest: 147,257
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 4¢ / 5¢
Closes: Nov 2, 21:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

2.0¢6.8K

3.0¢1.3K

4.0¢1.1K

5.0¢793

6.0¢1.5K

7.0¢293.6

8.0¢15K

9.0¢17K

Buy NO (asks)

99.0¢1.6K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

00:45 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 58% → 5%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Boise St. wins by over 20.5 pointsSports · Kalshi ↗	23:15 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	50.0%	1.7K	$828	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Boise St. wins by more than 20.5 points in the Texas St. vs Boise St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.espn.com

Related markets

Boise St. wins by over 10.5 points23.5% · $472K 24h
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Boise St. wins by over 27.5 points1.5% · $146K 24h
Boise St. wins by over 14.5 points43.5% · $131K 24h
Boise St. wins by over 13.5 points46.0% · $123K 24h
Boise St. wins by over 11.5 points85.5% · $104K 24h
Boise St. wins by over 17.5 points31.5% · $96,924 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.