PolymarketOpenSportsGrade C · 61%

Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

View on Polymarket ↗

Implied probability

0.1%

0.1¢ per contract

1 hour: −21.4 pts down
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Polymarket

Market statistics

24h volume: $1.01M
Total volume: $478K
Liquidity: $371K
Open interest: —
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 9, 02:30 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

03:19 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $27,481 at 56%
03:45 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $9,937 at 24%
03:48 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $12,933 at 20%
04:11 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $8,803 at 26%
04:35 ET EST
Polymarket moves 27% → 0%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	04:27 ET1 h ago	Aliaksandra Sasnovich buy	98.0%	7.9K	$7,774	6.5%	0.1%	−6.4 pts down	Exceptional
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	04:21 ET1 h ago	Aliaksandra Sasnovich buy	94.0%	8.0K	$7,520	9.5%	1.4%	−8.2 pts down	Exceptional
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	04:21 ET1 h ago	Katie Volynets buy	7.0%	103K	$7,233	—	—	—	Normal
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	04:17 ET1 h ago	Katie Volynets buy	12.0%	56K	$6,723	—	—	—	Normal
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	04:11 ET2 h ago	Katie Volynets sell	26.0%	34K	$8,803	26.5%	9.5%	−17.0 pts down	Exceptional
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	04:10 ET2 h ago	Katie Volynets sell	33.0%	23K	$7,693	26.5%	9.5%	−17.0 pts down	Exceptional
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	03:48 ET2 h ago	Katie Volynets buy	20.0%	65K	$12,933	—	—	—	Normal
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	03:45 ET2 h ago	Katie Volynets buy	24.0%	41K	$9,937	—	—	—	Normal
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	03:35 ET2 h ago	Katie Volynets buy	37.0%	18K	$6,599	—	—	—	Normal
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	03:19 ET2 h ago	Katie Volynets buy	56.0%	49K	$27,481	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	04:11 ET2 h ago	Katie Volynets sell	26.0%	34K	$8,803	26.5%	9.5%	−17.0 pts down	Exceptional
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	04:10 ET2 h ago	Katie Volynets sell	33.0%	23K	$7,693	26.5%	9.5%	−17.0 pts down	Exceptional
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	04:21 ET1 h ago	Aliaksandra Sasnovich buy	94.0%	8.0K	$7,520	9.5%	1.4%	−8.2 pts down	Exceptional
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSports · Polymarket ↗	04:27 ET1 h ago	Aliaksandra Sasnovich buy	98.0%	7.9K	$7,774	6.5%	0.1%	−6.4 pts down	Exceptional

Matched on the other venue

Aliaksandra Sasnovich wins

KalshiGrade C · 61%

Compare venues →

Resolution

This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Volynets and Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Katie Volynets. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.