PolymarketOpenSports

Cali: Selena Janicijevic vs Solana Sierra

View on Polymarket ↗

Implied probability

0.1%

0.1¢ per contract

1 hour: −9.4 pts down
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Polymarket

Market statistics

24h volume: $246K
Total volume: $216K
Liquidity: $178K
Open interest: —
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 9, 12:30 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

14:40 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $10,713 at 49%
14:40 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $25,000 at 44%
15:07 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $12,000 at 91%
15:35 ET EST
Polymarket moves 3% → 6%
15:45 ET EST
Polymarket moves 6% → 0%
15:59 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $9,717 at 100%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Cali: Selena Janicijevic vs Solana SierraSports · Polymarket ↗	15:59 ET2 h ago	Solana Sierra sell	99.9%	9.7K	$9,717	—	—	—	Normal
Cali: Selena Janicijevic vs Solana SierraSports · Polymarket ↗	15:29 ET3 h ago	Solana Sierra buy	96.9%	8.1K	$7,878	—	—	—	Normal
Cali: Selena Janicijevic vs Solana SierraSports · Polymarket ↗	15:07 ET3 h ago	Solana Sierra buy	91.0%	13K	$12,000	11.5%	10.5%	−1.0 pts down	Large
Cali: Selena Janicijevic vs Solana SierraSports · Polymarket ↗	14:56 ET3 h ago	Selena Janicijevic sell	12.4%	49K	$6,020	—	—	—	Normal
Cali: Selena Janicijevic vs Solana SierraSports · Polymarket ↗	14:53 ET3 h ago	Selena Janicijevic sell	17.0%	29K	$4,930	—	—	—	Normal
Cali: Selena Janicijevic vs Solana SierraSports · Polymarket ↗	14:40 ET4 h ago	Selena Janicijevic buy	44.1%	57K	$25,000	41.5%	34.5%	−7.0 pts down	Exceptional
Cali: Selena Janicijevic vs Solana SierraSports · Polymarket ↗	14:40 ET4 h ago	Selena Janicijevic buy	48.5%	22K	$10,713	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Cali: Selena Janicijevic vs Solana SierraSports · Polymarket ↗	14:40 ET4 h ago	Selena Janicijevic buy	44.1%	57K	$25,000	41.5%	34.5%	−7.0 pts down	Exceptional
Cali: Selena Janicijevic vs Solana SierraSports · Polymarket ↗	15:07 ET3 h ago	Solana Sierra buy	91.0%	13K	$12,000	11.5%	10.5%	−1.0 pts down	Large

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

This market refers to the tennis match between Selena Janicijevic and Solana Sierra in the Cali, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Selena Janicijevic' if Selena Janicijevic advances against Solana Sierra. This market will resolve to 'Solana Sierra' if Solana Sierra advances against Selena Janicijevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.