Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter
- 1 hour
- −4.2 pts down
- 24 hours
- −39.0 pts down
- 7 days
- —
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $585K
- Total volume
- $192K
- Liquidity
- $182K
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- —
- Best bid / ask
- —
- Closes
- Nov 8, 21:00 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Order book unavailable
The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.
Why is this moving?
Golubic vs Boulter market collapses to 0.1% after heavy NO buying
Moderate evidenceThe implied probability for the market dropped from 39.1% to 0.1% over 24 hours.
A large execution of $58,730 on 'NO' occurred at 02:57 ET at a price of 100%.
Prior to the final drop, a $36,562 'NO' execution took place at 02:45 ET at 70%, followed by a $20,124 'YES' execution at 02:46 ET at 30%.
The price moved from 2% to 26% around 02:45 ET, then fell to 0% by 03:00 ET.
The significant volume of 'NO' trades, particularly the $58,730 block at 100%, suggests strong conviction among traders that Viktorija Golubic would not win against Katie Boulter.
The rapid decline in price following these executions indicates that the market repriced almost instantly due to this concentrated selling pressure on the 'YES' outcome (or buying on 'NO').
- The evidence does not specify the underlying reason for the shift in sentiment (e.g., injury, withdrawal, or match result).
- The small resting liquidity ($89,350) relative to the trade sizes may have amplified the price movement.
Evidence score 41/100. Ordering in time establishes correlation, not causation. Narrative written by qwen/qwen3.8-flash from a fixed evidence package and validated against it before publication; every figure is computed by ProudGlobeHead Markets.
Event timeline
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $17,402 at 34%
- Polymarket moves 2% → 26%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $36,562 at 70%
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $20,124 at 30%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $58,730 at 100%
- Polymarket moves 26% → 0%
Largest recent trades
Most price-impactful trades
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie BoulterSports · Polymarket ↗ | 02:45 ET2 h ago | Katie Boulter sell | 69.8% | 52K | $36,562 | 26.1% | 0.1% | −25.9 pts down | Exceptional |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie BoulterSports · Polymarket ↗ | 02:46 ET2 h ago | Viktorija Golubic buy | 29.9% | 67K | $20,124 | 26.1% | 0.1% | −25.9 pts down | Exceptional |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie BoulterSports · Polymarket ↗ | 02:46 ET2 h ago | Viktorija Golubic buy | 31.0% | 40K | $12,345 | 26.1% | 0.1% | −25.9 pts down | Exceptional |