PolymarketOpenCrypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

View on Polymarket ↗

Implied probability

4.8%

4.8¢ per contract

1 hour: −0.1 pts down
24 hours: +1.5 pts up
7 days: —

Polymarket

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $261K
Total volume: $265K
Liquidity: $92,139
Open interest: —
Spread: 0.1¢
Best bid / ask: 5¢ / 5¢
Closes: Dec 1, 00:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

4.8¢599

4.9¢7.3K

5.1¢167

5.2¢18K

5.3¢172

5.4¢15K

5.5¢5

5.6¢5

Buy NO (asks)

95.3¢343

95.4¢264

95.5¢3.3K

95.6¢50

95.7¢55

95.8¢5

95.9¢5

96.0¢5

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

10:52 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $4,722 at 95%
10:52 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $9,540 at 95%
10:53 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $4,199 at 95%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?Crypto · Polymarket ↗	10:53 ET7 h ago	No buy	95.4%	4.4K	$4,199	—	—	—	Normal
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?Crypto · Polymarket ↗	10:52 ET7 h ago	No buy	95.4%	10K	$9,540	—	—	—	Normal
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?Crypto · Polymarket ↗	10:52 ET7 h ago	No buy	95.4%	5.0K	$4,722	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

Related markets

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November?99.9% · $455K 24h
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?68.5% · $361K 24h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?8.5% · $126K 24h
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?77.5% · $120K 24h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?11.5% · $83,971 24h
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?17.5% · $79,057 24h
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?26.5% · $58,753 24h
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?37.5% · $47,101 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.