Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?
Will 1win launch a token by ___?
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- +82.0 pts up
- 7 days
- +78.5 pts up
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $1.09M
- Total volume
- $1.11M
- Liquidity
- $176K
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.1¢
- Best bid / ask
- 100¢ / 100¢
- Closes
- Oct 31, 23:59 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Why is this moving?
1win token market surges to 99.9% on heavy YES volume
Moderate evidenceThe implied probability for a 1win token launch by October 31, 2026, is currently priced at 99.9%.
Over the last 24 hours, the price moved +82.0 points, rising from 17.9% to 99.9%.
Seven-day movement shows an increase of +78.5 points.
24-hour trading volume reached $1.66M with estimated resting liquidity of $1.89M.
Recent large executions occurred at 100%, including $211K at 21:35 ET and subsequent trades between 23:12 and 23:47 ET.
The sharp rise in probability correlates with significant buying pressure, evidenced by high 24-hour volume ($1.66M) and multiple large YES orders executed at or near 100%.
Market participants appear to have rapidly repriced the likelihood of the event, moving from 17.9% to 99.9% within a single day, suggesting new information or consensus formation drove the surge.
- The evidence confirms price movement and trade volume but does not specify the underlying news or catalyst that triggered the shift from 17.9% to 99.9%.
Evidence score 41/100. Ordering in time establishes correlation, not causation. Narrative written by qwen/qwen3.8-flash from a fixed evidence package and validated against it before publication; every figure is computed by ProudGlobeHead Markets.
Event timeline
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $211K at 100%
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $20,619 at 100%
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $26,565 at 100%
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $14,020 at 100%
Largest recent trades
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · Polymarket ↗ | 23:47 ET2 h ago | Yes sell | 99.9% | 14K | $14,020 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · Polymarket ↗ | 23:40 ET3 h ago | Yes sell | 99.9% | 27K | $26,565 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · Polymarket ↗ | 23:12 ET3 h ago | Yes sell | 99.9% | 21K | $20,619 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · Polymarket ↗ | 23:12 ET3 h ago | Yes sell | 99.9% | 6.0K | $5,994 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · Polymarket ↗ | 21:35 ET5 h ago | Yes buy | 99.9% | 212K | $211K | 99.9% | 100.0% | +0.1 pts up | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · Polymarket ↗ | 21:35 ET5 h ago | Yes buy | 99.9% | 212K | $211K | 99.9% | 100.0% | +0.1 pts up | Normal |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · Polymarket ↗ | 23:47 ET2 h ago | Yes sell | 99.9% | 14K | $14,020 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · Polymarket ↗ | 23:40 ET3 h ago | Yes sell | 99.9% | 27K | $26,565 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · Polymarket ↗ | 23:12 ET3 h ago | Yes sell | 99.9% | 21K | $20,619 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · Polymarket ↗ | 23:12 ET3 h ago | Yes sell | 99.9% | 6.0K | $5,994 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |