PolymarketOpenSportsGrade C · 68%
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)
Polymarket prices UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card) at 55.5%.
View on Polymarket ↗Implied probability
55.5%
55.5¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- +2.0 pts up
- 24 hours
- +2.0 pts up
- 7 days
- +11.5 pts up
Polymarket
No history available for this range yet.
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $615K
- Total volume
- $202K
- Liquidity
- $146K
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 55¢ / 56¢
- Closes
- Oct 31, 23:59 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Order book unavailable
The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $54,295 at 45%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $32,770 at 45%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $7,891 at 45%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $48,055 at 45%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 22:28 ET2 h ago | Tom Nolan buy | 45.0% | 121K | $54,295 | 55.5% | 71.5% | +16.0 pts up | Exceptional |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 22:28 ET2 h ago | Tom Nolan buy | 45.0% | 73K | $32,770 | 55.5% | 71.5% | +16.0 pts up | Exceptional |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 22:29 ET2 h ago | Tom Nolan buy | 45.0% | 107K | $48,055 | 54.5% | 64.0% | +9.5 pts up | Exceptional |