PolymarketOpenSportsGrade C · 71%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913
Polymarket prices Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02? at 1.1%.
View on Polymarket ↗Implied probability
1.1%
1.1¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- −71.5 pts down
- 24 hours
- −62.5 pts down
- 7 days
- −66.0 pts down
Polymarket
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $608K
- Total volume
- $565K
- Liquidity
- $204K
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.1¢
- Best bid / ask
- 1¢ / 1¢
- Closes
- Nov 2, 14:45 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Order book unavailable
The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?: Moved −62.5 pts over 24 hours
Moderate evidenceObserved
Established from data
Moved −62.5 pts over 24 hours, from 63.5% to 1.1%.
Established from data
Polymarket prices "Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?" at 1.1%.
Established from data
Moved −71.5 pts over the last hour.
Established from data
15:28 ET: Polymarket YES execution of $10,000 at 42%.
Plausible explanation
Consistent with the evidence, not proven
Large executions printed during the move; the data shows they coincided with repricing, which is consistent with, but does not prove, that this flow moved the price.
Caveats
- Trade data covers the sampled and largest executions, not every fill.
- Timing relationships establish temporal correlation, not causation.
Evidence score 37/100. Ordering in time establishes correlation, not causation. Written deterministically from the evidence package without a language model.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $10,000 at 42%
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $9,099 at 40%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $9,850 at 99%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $8,333 at 100%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 16:26 ET2 h ago | No buy | 99.9% | 5.2K | $5,155 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 16:26 ET2 h ago | No buy | 99.9% | 8.3K | $8,333 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 16:08 ET2 h ago | No buy | 98.5% | 10K | $9,850 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 16:02 ET2 h ago | No buy | 97.0% | 4.3K | $4,186 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 15:59 ET2 h ago | No buy | 87.0% | 3.1K | $2,672 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 15:36 ET3 h ago | Yes buy | 40.0% | 14K | $5,516 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 15:35 ET3 h ago | Yes buy | 40.0% | 16K | $6,467 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 15:34 ET3 h ago | Yes buy | 40.0% | 23K | $9,099 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 15:34 ET3 h ago | Yes buy | 39.0% | 16K | $6,116 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?Sports · Polymarket ↗ | 15:29 ET3 h ago | No buy | 61.0% | 4.9K | $2,989 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.