PolymarketOpenSports

Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5

Eagles vs. Commanders

View on Polymarket ↗

Implied probability

56.5%

56.5¢ per contract

1 hour: +12.0 pts up
24 hours: +8.0 pts up
7 days: +7.0 pts up

Polymarket

Market statistics

24h volume: $604K
Total volume: $585K
Liquidity: $47,364
Open interest: —
Spread: 3.0¢
Best bid / ask: 55¢ / 58¢
Closes: Nov 1, 20:20 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

56.0¢1.5K

57.0¢18K

58.0¢150

59.0¢1.3K

60.0¢9.4K

61.0¢2.2K

62.0¢1.4K

63.0¢1.8K

Buy NO (asks)

46.0¢17K

47.0¢280

48.0¢1.1K

49.0¢6.6K

50.0¢10.0K

51.0¢562

52.0¢2.6K

53.0¢919

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

21:15 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $3,704 at 57%
21:20 ET EST
Polymarket moves 67% → 55%
21:40 ET EST
Polymarket moves 55% → 62%
21:45 ET EST
Polymarket moves 62% → 56%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5Sports · Polymarket ↗	21:15 ET34 min ago	Over buy	57.0%	6.5K	$3,704	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for November 1 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Eagles and Commanders combine to score 41 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 41, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores

Related markets

Eagles vs. Commanders36.5% · $3.49M 24h
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)36.5% · $759K 24h
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.552.0% · $404K 24h
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)40.5% · $267K 24h
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)25.5% · $136K 24h
Spread: Commanders (-17.5)3.5% · $94,809 24h
Spread: Commanders (-7.5)12.0% · $93,934 24h
Spread: Commanders (-14.5)4.5% · $75,479 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.