PolymarketOpenSports

Vikings vs. Lions

View on Polymarket ↗
Implied probability
30.5%
30.5¢ per contract
1 hour
−15.0 pts down
24 hours
−7.0 pts down
7 days
−13.5 pts down
Polymarket
Vikings vs. Lions implied probability. Polymarket moved from 52% to 31%. Times shown in EST.0%20%40%60%80%100%14:05 ET14:27 ET14:50 ET15:12 ET15:35 ET$5,611 NO at 66.9%$10,400 YES at 52.0%$11,101 NO at 50.0%$10,750 YES at 43.0%$10,931 NO at 54.0%

Market statistics

24h volume
$1.31M
Total volume
$768K
Liquidity
$434K
Open interest
—
Spread
1.0¢
Best bid / ask
30¢ / 31¢
Closes
Nov 1, 13:00 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
30.0¢21K
31.0¢3.5K
32.0¢14K
33.0¢10K
34.0¢22K
35.0¢22K
36.0¢4.5K
37.0¢855
Buy NO (asks)
71.0¢3.4K
72.0¢1.3K
73.0¢15K
74.0¢26K
75.0¢44K
76.0¢14K
77.0¢162
78.0¢18

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
  1. Large Polymarket NO execution: $36,061 at 72%
  2. Large Polymarket NO execution: $12,574 at 59%
  3. Large Polymarket YES execution: $72,678 at 45%
  4. Large Polymarket NO execution: $11,101 at 50%
  5. Polymarket moves 40% → 52%
  6. Polymarket moves 52% → 27%
  7. Polymarket moves 27% → 36%
  8. Polymarket moves 36% → 30%

Largest recent trades

By notional value
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗15:19 ET21 min agoLions buy66.9%8.4K$5,611———Normal
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗14:58 ET43 min agoVikings buy52.0%20K$10,400———Normal
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗14:57 ET43 min agoLions buy50.0%22K$11,101———Normal
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗14:44 ET56 min agoVikings sell43.0%25K$10,750———Normal
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗14:28 ET1 h agoLions buy54.0%20K$10,931———Normal
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗14:04 ET2 h agoVikings buy49.2%21K$10,306———Normal
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗14:03 ET2 h agoVikings buy50.0%13K$6,416———Normal
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗13:48 ET2 h agoVikings buy46.0%16K$7,481———Normal
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗13:47 ET2 h agoVikings buy45.0%162K$72,67839.5%56.5%+17.0 pts upExceptional
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗13:43 ET2 h agoLions buy59.0%7.6K$4,482———Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗13:47 ET2 h agoVikings buy45.0%162K$72,67839.5%56.5%+17.0 pts upExceptional
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗12:59 ET3 h agoVikings buy38.0%191K$72,56037.5%41.5%+4.0 pts upExceptional
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗13:34 ET2 h agoLions buy72.0%50K$36,06130.5%33.5%+3.0 pts upExceptional
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗13:00 ET3 h agoLions buy62.0%147K$91,44337.5%37.5%0.0 pts unchangedNormal
Vikings vs. LionsSports · Polymarket ↗12:50 ET3 h agoVikings buy38.0%48K$18,39037.5%37.5%0.0 pts unchangedNormal