PolymarketOpenSports

Spread: Jets (-1.5)

Raiders vs. Jets

View on Polymarket ↗

Implied probability

32.0%

32.0¢ per contract

1 hour: −46.0 pts down
24 hours: −25.5 pts down
7 days: −10.0 pts down

Polymarket

Market statistics

24h volume: $328K
Total volume: $327K
Liquidity: $103K
Open interest: —
Spread: 17.0¢
Best bid / ask: 16¢ / 33¢
Closes: Nov 1, 13:00 ET
Status: open

Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

12:23 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $24,638 at 51%
12:31 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $28,863 at 51%
12:31 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $9,855 at 51%
12:57 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $5,100 at 51%
15:55 ET EST
Polymarket moves 6% → 2%
16:10 ET EST
Polymarket moves 4% → 0%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Spread: Jets (-1.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	12:57 ET5 h ago	Jets buy	51.0%	9.3K	$4,744	—	—	—	Normal
Spread: Jets (-1.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	12:57 ET5 h ago	Jets buy	51.0%	10K	$5,100	—	—	—	Normal
Spread: Jets (-1.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	12:56 ET5 h ago	Jets buy	51.0%	7.0K	$3,570	—	—	—	Normal
Spread: Jets (-1.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	12:53 ET5 h ago	Jets buy	51.0%	8.0K	$4,080	—	—	—	Normal
Spread: Jets (-1.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	12:31 ET6 h ago	Jets buy	51.0%	19K	$9,855	—	—	—	Normal
Spread: Jets (-1.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	12:31 ET6 h ago	Jets buy	51.0%	57K	$28,863	50.5%	50.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal
Spread: Jets (-1.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	12:23 ET6 h ago	Jets buy	51.0%	48K	$24,638	50.5%	50.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Spread: Jets (-1.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	12:31 ET6 h ago	Jets buy	51.0%	57K	$28,863	50.5%	50.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal
Spread: Jets (-1.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	12:23 ET6 h ago	Jets buy	51.0%	48K	$24,638	50.5%	50.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

In the upcoming NFL football game between Raiders and Jets, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jets" if the Jets win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raiders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores

Related markets

Raiders vs. Jets99.9% · $2.35M 24h
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.597.0% · $144K 24h
Spread: Jets (-2.5)20.0% · $80,329 24h
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)73.5% · $45,093 24h
Spread: Jets (-3.5)5.5% · $32,006 24h
Spread: Raiders (-5.5)3.0% · $24,361 24h
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 44.598.0% · $22,771 24h
Spread: Raiders (-4.5)21.5% · $20,488 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.