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PolymarketOpenSports

Thunder vs. Rockets

View on Polymarket ↗
Implied probability
0.3%
0.3¢ per contract
1 hour
—
24 hours
—
7 days
—
Polymarket
Thunder vs. Rockets implied probability. Polymarket moved from 22% to 0%. Times shown in EDT.0%20%40%60%80%100%21:10 ET21:36 ET22:02 ET22:28 ET22:55 ET$5,058 NO at 99.9%$11,445 NO at 99.9%$8,791 NO at 99.9%$6,872 NO at 90.4%$5,075 NO at 87.0%$5,055 NO at 91.0%$10,435 YES at 22.0%$12,000 NO at 80.0%

Market statistics

24h volume
$2.86M
Total volume
$2.33M
Liquidity
$163K
Open interest
—
Spread
—
Best bid / ask
—
Closes
Oct 31, 20:30 ET
Status
open
Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
  1. Large Polymarket YES execution: $25,000 at 39%
  2. Large Polymarket NO execution: $17,956 at 74%
  3. Polymarket moves 30% → 12%
  4. Large Polymarket NO execution: $12,000 at 80%
  5. Polymarket moves 12% → 22%
  6. Polymarket moves 22% → 7%
  7. Large Polymarket NO execution: $11,445 at 100%
  8. Polymarket moves 9% → 0%

Largest recent trades

By notional value
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗22:47 ET10 h agoRockets sell99.9%5.1K$5,058———Normal
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗22:42 ET10 h agoRockets sell99.9%11K$11,4450.3%0.1%−0.1 pts downNormal
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗22:29 ET10 h agoRockets buy99.9%8.8K$8,7911.6%0.3%−1.3 pts downLarge
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗22:08 ET10 h agoRockets buy90.4%7.6K$6,87213.5%8.5%−5.0 pts downExceptional
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗22:06 ET10 h agoRockets buy87.0%5.8K$5,075———Normal
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗21:57 ET10 h agoRockets buy91.0%5.6K$5,055———Normal
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗21:46 ET11 h agoThunder buy22.0%47K$10,43520.5%18.5%−2.0 pts downLarge
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗21:40 ET11 h agoRockets buy80.0%15K$12,00020.5%21.5%+1.0 pts upLarge
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗21:38 ET11 h agoRockets sell79.0%11K$8,55815.5%21.5%+6.0 pts upExceptional
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗21:12 ET11 h agoRockets buy74.0%24K$17,95621.5%14.5%−7.0 pts downExceptional

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗21:12 ET11 h agoRockets buy74.0%24K$17,95621.5%14.5%−7.0 pts downExceptional
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗21:38 ET11 h agoRockets sell79.0%11K$8,55815.5%21.5%+6.0 pts upExceptional
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗22:08 ET10 h agoRockets buy90.4%7.6K$6,87213.5%8.5%−5.0 pts downExceptional
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗21:46 ET11 h agoThunder buy22.0%47K$10,43520.5%18.5%−2.0 pts downLarge
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗22:29 ET10 h agoRockets buy99.9%8.8K$8,7911.6%0.3%−1.3 pts downLarge
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗21:40 ET11 h agoRockets buy80.0%15K$12,00020.5%21.5%+1.0 pts upLarge
Thunder vs. RocketsSports · Polymarket ↗22:42 ET10 h agoRockets sell99.9%11K$11,4450.3%0.1%−0.1 pts downNormal