PolymarketOpenSports

Heat vs. Lakers

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Closing soon — trading ends 4 h from now at Nov 2, 22:00 ET. Liquidity often thins out near the close.

Implied probability

43.5%

43.5¢ per contract

1 hour: −1.0 pts down
24 hours: −8.0 pts down
7 days: —

Polymarket

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $196K
Total volume: $198K
Liquidity: $202K
Open interest: —
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 43¢ / 44¢
Closes: Nov 2, 22:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

44.0¢127K

45.0¢26K

46.0¢110K

47.0¢20K

48.0¢18K

49.0¢26

50.0¢1.4K

52.0¢4.0K

Buy NO (asks)

57.0¢52K

58.0¢41K

59.0¢29K

60.0¢1.5K

61.0¢671

62.0¢10.5

64.0¢4.0K

65.0¢501

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

16:02 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $10,535 at 55%
16:15 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $12,043 at 44%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Heat vs. LakersSports · Polymarket ↗	16:15 ET2 h ago	Heat sell	44.0%	27K	$12,043	44.5%	43.5%	−1.0 pts down	Large
Heat vs. LakersSports · Polymarket ↗	16:02 ET2 h ago	Lakers buy	55.0%	19K	$10,535	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Heat vs. LakersSports · Polymarket ↗	16:15 ET2 h ago	Heat sell	44.0%	27K	$12,043	44.5%	43.5%	−1.0 pts down	Large

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 2 at 10:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Source: https://www.nba.com/

Related markets

Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 235.552.5% · $27,898 24h
Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 237.546.5% · $24,319 24h
Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 239.543.5% · $6,246 24h
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)47.5% · $5,516 24h
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)52.5% · $4,349 24h
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)44.5% · $2,346 24h
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)41.5% · $1,699 24h
Lions vs. Bills0.1% · $8.84M 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.