PolymarketOpenSports

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

Celtics vs. Rockets

View on Polymarket ↗

Closing soon — trading ends 2 h from now at Nov 2, 20:30 ET. Liquidity often thins out near the close.

Implied probability

52.5%

52.5¢ per contract

1 hour: 0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours: +0.5 pts up
7 days: —

Polymarket

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $182K
Total volume: $180K
Liquidity: $240K
Open interest: —
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 52¢ / 53¢
Closes: Nov 2, 20:30 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

51.0¢5.6K

52.0¢156K

53.0¢59K

54.0¢63K

55.0¢5.7K

56.0¢312.8

58.0¢20

60.0¢3.4K

Buy NO (asks)

50.0¢23K

51.0¢64K

52.0¢22K

53.0¢1.6K

54.0¢2.7K

55.0¢172

57.0¢2.8K

58.0¢501

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

13:59 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $20,972 at 56%
13:59 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $17,261 at 54%
14:27 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $36,788 at 53%
14:43 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $14,621 at 47%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	14:43 ET4 h ago	Celtics buy	47.0%	31K	$14,621	53.5%	52.5%	−1.0 pts down	Large
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	14:27 ET4 h ago	Rockets sell	53.0%	69K	$36,788	53.5%	53.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	14:20 ET4 h ago	Celtics buy	46.0%	10K	$4,600	—	—	—	Normal
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	14:20 ET4 h ago	Celtics buy	46.0%	10K	$4,600	—	—	—	Normal
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	14:20 ET4 h ago	Celtics buy	46.0%	10K	$4,600	—	—	—	Normal
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	14:08 ET4 h ago	Rockets buy	54.0%	11K	$6,109	—	—	—	Normal
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	13:59 ET4 h ago	Rockets buy	54.5%	32K	$17,261	53.5%	54.5%	+1.0 pts up	Large
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	13:59 ET4 h ago	Rockets buy	55.6%	38K	$20,972	53.5%	54.5%	+1.0 pts up	Large

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	13:59 ET4 h ago	Rockets buy	55.6%	38K	$20,972	53.5%	54.5%	+1.0 pts up	Large
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	13:59 ET4 h ago	Rockets buy	54.5%	32K	$17,261	53.5%	54.5%	+1.0 pts up	Large
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	14:43 ET4 h ago	Celtics buy	47.0%	31K	$14,621	53.5%	52.5%	−1.0 pts down	Large
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	14:27 ET4 h ago	Rockets sell	53.0%	69K	$36,788	53.5%	53.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 2 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rockets" if the Rockets win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.nba.com/

Related markets

Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 218.544.5% · $68,156 24h
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 216.548.5% · $51,109 24h
Celtics vs. Rockets36.5% · $46,891 24h
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 219.542.5% · $43,037 24h
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 220.541.5% · $13,037 24h
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)55.5% · $5,452 24h
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)48.5% · $5,423 24h
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)59.5% · $4,352 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.