PolymarketOpenSports

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?

Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC

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Implied probability

99.9%

99.9¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Polymarket

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $1.24M
Total volume: $946K
Liquidity: $1.25M
Open interest: —
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 1, 11:30 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	13:28 ET1 d ago	Yes sell	99.9%	9.0K	$9,003	—	—	—	Normal
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	13:25 ET1 d ago	Yes buy	97.9%	10K	$9,794	—	—	—	Normal
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	13:22 ET1 d ago	Yes buy	93.0%	11K	$10,000	—	—	—	Normal
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	13:18 ET1 d ago	Yes buy	84.0%	23K	$19,572	79.5%	94.5%	+15.0 pts up	Exceptional
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	12:52 ET1 d ago	Yes buy	63.0%	11K	$6,968	—	—	—	Normal
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	11:58 ET1 d ago	Yes buy	59.0%	15K	$8,573	—	—	—	Normal
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	11:48 ET1 d ago	No sell	37.0%	9.4K	$3,484	—	—	—	Normal
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	11:45 ET1 d ago	Yes buy	41.0%	16K	$6,395	—	—	—	Normal
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	11:45 ET1 d ago	No sell	59.0%	10.0K	$5,900	—	—	—	Normal
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	11:29 ET1 d ago	No buy	60.0%	16K	$9,874	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	13:18 ET1 d ago	Yes buy	84.0%	23K	$19,572	79.5%	94.5%	+15.0 pts up	Exceptional
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Polymarket ↗	11:27 ET1 d ago	No buy	59.0%	218K	$129K	41.5%	40.5%	−1.0 pts down	Large

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 1, 2026 If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Source: https://www.premierleague.com/

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.