Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
- 1 hour
- −40.5 pts down
- 24 hours
- −70.5 pts down
- 7 days
- −76.5 pts down
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $580K
- Total volume
- $390K
- Liquidity
- $471K
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- —
- Best bid / ask
- —
- Closes
- Nov 2, 05:40 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Order book unavailable
The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.
Why is this moving?
Aurora Gaming odds collapse to near zero after heavy NO buying and market halt
Moderate evidenceThe implied probability for Aurora Gaming winning dropped from 70.5% to 0.1% over the last 24 hours.
In the final hour, the price fell by another 40.5 points.
Between 23:33 ET and 23:49 ET, three large trades bought 'NO' (betting against Aurora) at prices between 31% and 42%, totaling approximately $34,243.
At 00:18 ET, a single large trade of $36,224 executed on the 'YES' side at 41%.
By 01:05 ET, the market price moved from 24% to 0%.
The sustained buying of 'NO' shares in the late evening suggests traders were positioning against Aurora Gaming's victory, driving the price down.
The sharp drop to 0% shortly after the final recorded trades indicates the market likely resolved or became illiquid as the outcome was determined, consistent with a loss for Aurora Gaming.
- The evidence does not specify the actual match result or reason for the price collapse beyond trading activity.
Evidence score 39/100. Ordering in time establishes correlation, not causation. Narrative written by qwen/qwen3.8-flash from a fixed evidence package and validated against it before publication; every figure is computed by ProudGlobeHead Markets.
Event timeline
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $11,633 at 31%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $10,842 at 32%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $11,768 at 42%
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $36,224 at 41%
- Polymarket moves 24% → 0%
Largest recent trades
Most price-impactful trades
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.