Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State
- 1 hour
- −25.4 pts down
- 24 hours
- −75.5 pts down
- 7 days
- −51.0 pts down
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $231K
- Total volume
- $185K
- Liquidity
- $461K
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- —
- Best bid / ask
- —
- Closes
- Oct 31, 19:00 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Order book unavailable
The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.
Why is this moving?
Oklahoma State market collapses to 0.1% after volatile swings and large NO trade
Moderate evidencePolymarket prices for Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State are currently at 0.1%.
The price moved down by 75.5 points over the last 24 hours, dropping from 75.6% to 0.1%.
In the most recent hour, the price fell by another 25.4 points.
Over a seven-day period, the cumulative decline was 51.0 points.
Trading volume in the last 24 hours reached $260K against estimated resting liquidity of $445K.
At 21:37 ET, a large NO execution of $13,494 occurred at 65%, followed by a 10-point price drop five minutes later.
Between 22:20 ET and 23:05 ET, the price exhibited extreme volatility, swinging from 22% to 44%, then to 19%, up to 68%, and finally collapsing to 0%.
The significant downward trend is supported by the consistent negative movements across 1-hour, 24-hour, and 7-day intervals, indicating sustained selling pressure or changing sentiment toward Oklahoma State.
The final collapse to 0% coincides with a rapid sequence of price swings ending in a drop from 68% to 0% at 23:05 ET, suggesting a decisive event or large liquidation occurred just before this timestamp.
The large NO execution at 21:37 ET preceded a temporary price dip, but the subsequent volatility indicates that early trades did not solely determine the final outcome, as prices recovered briefly before the ultimate crash.
- The specific cause of the final drop from 68% to 0% is not identified in the evidence; only the timing and magnitude are recorded.
Evidence score 41/100. Ordering in time establishes correlation, not causation. Narrative written by qwen/qwen3.8-flash from a fixed evidence package and validated against it before publication; every figure is computed by ProudGlobeHead Markets.
Event timeline
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $13,494 at 65%
- Polymarket moves 22% → 44%
- Polymarket moves 44% → 19%
- Polymarket moves 19% → 68%
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $1,925 at 69%
- Polymarket moves 68% → 0%
Largest recent trades
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State vs. Iowa StateSports · Polymarket ↗ | 22:52 ET2 h ago | Oklahoma State sell | 69.4% | 2.8K | $1,925 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Oklahoma State vs. Iowa StateSports · Polymarket ↗ | 21:37 ET3 h ago | Iowa State buy | 65.0% | 21K | $13,494 | 39.5% | 29.5% | −10.0 pts down | Exceptional |
Most price-impactful trades
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State vs. Iowa StateSports · Polymarket ↗ | 21:37 ET3 h ago | Iowa State buy | 65.0% | 21K | $13,494 | 39.5% | 29.5% | −10.0 pts down | Exceptional |