PolymarketOpenSports

Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Machac

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Implied probability

0.1%

0.1¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Polymarket

Market statistics

24h volume: $432K
Total volume: $237K
Liquidity: $261K
Open interest: —
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 9, 09:30 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

11:31 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $5,500 at 55%
11:51 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $5,364 at 18%
12:03 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $5,018 at 96%
12:21 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $5,208 at 100%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas MachacSports · Polymarket ↗	12:45 ET6 h ago	Tomas Machac sell	99.9%	2.0K	$2,038	—	—	—	Normal
Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas MachacSports · Polymarket ↗	12:21 ET6 h ago	Tomas Machac sell	99.9%	5.2K	$5,208	—	—	—	Normal
Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas MachacSports · Polymarket ↗	12:03 ET6 h ago	Tomas Machac buy	96.0%	5.2K	$5,018	—	—	—	Normal
Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas MachacSports · Polymarket ↗	11:58 ET6 h ago	Tomas Machac buy	89.0%	3.0K	$2,701	—	—	—	Normal
Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas MachacSports · Polymarket ↗	11:51 ET7 h ago	Tomas Machac sell	82.0%	3.1K	$2,528	—	—	—	Normal
Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas MachacSports · Polymarket ↗	11:51 ET7 h ago	Kyrian Jacquet buy	18.0%	30K	$5,364	—	—	—	Normal
Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas MachacSports · Polymarket ↗	11:44 ET7 h ago	Kyrian Jacquet buy	51.0%	7.1K	$3,637	—	—	—	Normal
Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas MachacSports · Polymarket ↗	11:42 ET7 h ago	Tomas Machac buy	52.0%	5.6K	$2,934	—	—	—	Normal
Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas MachacSports · Polymarket ↗	11:33 ET7 h ago	Tomas Machac buy	57.2%	6.7K	$3,813	—	—	—	Normal
Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas MachacSports · Polymarket ↗	11:31 ET7 h ago	Tomas Machac buy	55.0%	10K	$5,500	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Tomas Machac in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Kyrian Jacquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.