KalshiOpenCulture

Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

18.5%

18.5¢ per contract

1 hour: 0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours: −0.5 pts down
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $7,846
Total volume: $1.35M
Liquidity: $7,920
Open interest: 801,521
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 18¢ / 19¢
Closes: Dec 31, 10:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

19.0¢39K

20.0¢13K

21.0¢1.3K

22.0¢70.3

23.0¢139.5

24.0¢13K

25.0¢2.3K

26.0¢107.3

Buy NO (asks)

82.0¢3.0K

83.0¢3.2K

84.0¢10K

85.0¢282.3

86.0¢60

87.0¢133.5

88.0¢40.1

89.0¢11.7

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If You Can See Everything has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Source: https://www.oscars.org/oscars

Related markets

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?1.5% · $21,325 24h
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?8.5% · $13,433 24h
Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars?1.0% · $10,476 24h
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?57.5% · $4,599 24h
Will Artificial win Best Picture at the Oscars?1.5% · $3,659 24h
Will Club Kid win Best Picture at the Oscars?1.0% · $935 24h
Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars?14.5% · $736 24h
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?1.0% · $468 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.