KalshiOpenCulture
Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars?
Oscar Winner: Best Picture
Kalshi prices Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars? at 14.5%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
14.5%
14.5¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- +0.5 pts up
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
No history available for this range yet.
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $736
- Total volume
- $715K
- Liquidity
- $4,419
- Open interest
- 434,823
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 14¢ / 15¢
- Closes
- Dec 31, 10:00 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
15.0¢17K
16.0¢5.3K
17.0¢8.0K
18.0¢10K
19.0¢6.5K
20.0¢530
21.0¢24
22.0¢30
Buy NO (asks)
86.0¢13K
87.0¢2.8K
88.0¢2.1K
89.0¢3.0K
90.0¢5.3K
91.0¢116.7
92.0¢252.5
93.0¢512.9
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
No timeline events yet
Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.
Largest recent trades
By notional value
No trades in this window
Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.