KalshiOpenPolitics
Will the Republican party win the governorship in New York
New York Governor winner?
Kalshi prices Will the Republican party win the governorship in New York at 3.3%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
3.3%
3.3¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- −0.1 pts down
- 24 hours
- −1.4 pts down
- 7 days
- −2.9 pts down
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $441K
- Total volume
- $2.42M
- Liquidity
- $45.00
- Open interest
- 4,631,661
- Spread
- 0.3¢
- Best bid / ask
- 3¢ / 3¢
- Closes
- Nov 3, 11:00 ET
- Status
- open
Hourly volume
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
3.4¢868.3
3.5¢3.5K
3.6¢22K
3.7¢10K
3.8¢6.2K
3.9¢6.1K
4.0¢48K
4.1¢12K
Buy NO (asks)
96.9¢688.2
97.0¢653.6
97.1¢453
97.2¢2.0K
97.3¢2.0K
97.4¢506
97.5¢502
97.6¢6
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $3,510 at 96%
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $1,928 at 96%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican party win the governorship in New YorkPolitics · Kalshi ↗ | 10:28 ET4 h ago | No sell | 96.4% | 2.0K | $1,928 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will the Republican party win the governorship in New YorkPolitics · Kalshi ↗ | 18:26 ET20 h ago | No sell | 96.3% | 3.6K | $3,510 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will the Republican party win the governorship in New YorkPolitics · Kalshi ↗ | 13:24 ET1 d ago | No sell | 96.2% | 2.1K | $2,002 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will the Republican party win the governorship in New YorkPolitics · Kalshi ↗ | 13:24 ET1 d ago | No sell | 96.2% | 2.1K | $2,049 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will the Republican party win the governorship in New YorkPolitics · Kalshi ↗ | 13:24 ET1 d ago | No sell | 96.1% | 3.0K | $2,883 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will the Republican party win the governorship in New YorkPolitics · Kalshi ↗ | 12:58 ET1 d ago | No sell | 96.0% | 2.3K | $2,200 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will the Republican party win the governorship in New YorkPolitics · Kalshi ↗ | 00:16 ET2 d ago | No sell | 96.3% | 1.8K | $1,693 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.