KalshiOpenPolitics

Will the Republican party hold fewer than 45 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
12.5%
12.5¢ per contract
1 hour
0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours
−2.5 pts down
7 days
—
Kalshi
No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume
$12,501
Total volume
$519K
Liquidity
$2,669
Open interest
417,497
Spread
1.0¢
Best bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
Closes
Feb 1, 10:00 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
13.0¢16K
14.0¢2.2K
15.0¢6.0K
16.0¢2.5K
18.0¢800
19.0¢0
20.0¢1.8K
22.0¢18
Buy NO (asks)
88.0¢1.7K
89.0¢2.2K
90.0¢191
91.0¢861
92.0¢43K
93.0¢17K
94.0¢3.2K
95.0¢3.6K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

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Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.