KalshiOpenPolitics

Will the Republican party hold exactly 46 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
19.5%
19.5¢ per contract
1 hour
0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours
+4.5 pts up
7 days
+10.0 pts up
Kalshi
Will the Republican party hold exactly 46 Senate seats in the 120th Congress? implied probability. Kalshi moved from 18% to 20%. Times shown in EST.0%20%40%60%80%100%07:50 ET09:20 ET10:50 ET12:20 ET13:50 ET

Market statistics

24h volume
$241K
Total volume
$575K
Liquidity
$2,136
Open interest
376,006
Spread
1.0¢
Best bid / ask
19¢ / 20¢
Closes
Feb 1, 10:00 ET
Status
open
Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
20.0¢17K
21.0¢11K
22.0¢4.5K
23.0¢4.1K
24.0¢1.7K
25.0¢2
26.0¢10K
27.0¢506
Buy NO (asks)
81.0¢3.0K
82.0¢6.0K
83.0¢1.3K
84.0¢1.1K
85.0¢206
86.0¢1.7K
87.0¢2.3K
88.0¢3.0K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

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Event timeline

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Most price-impactful trades

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