KalshiOpenPolitics

Will Texas Governor winner be Republican party and Texas Senate winner be Democratic party?

Texas Governor-Senate combo

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

42.5%

42.5¢ per contract

1 hour: 0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours: +2.5 pts up
7 days: —

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $30,079
Total volume: $242K
Liquidity: $13,129
Open interest: 211,889
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 42¢ / 43¢
Closes: Nov 3, 10:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

43.0¢25K

44.0¢9.2K

45.0¢175

46.0¢236.8

47.0¢27.6

48.0¢0

51.0¢100

52.0¢0

Buy NO (asks)

58.0¢402.8

59.0¢20K

60.0¢6.4K

61.0¢2.2K

62.0¢300

63.0¢300

64.0¢5

65.0¢1.0K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Will Texas Governor winner be Republican party and Texas Senate winner be Democratic party?Politics · Kalshi ↗	20:45 ET4 h ago	Yes buy	43.0%	1.1K	$481	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If ALL of the following occur: Texas Governor winner: Republican party, Texas Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Texas Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Texas Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). All conditions must be satisfied before November 3, 2027.

Source: https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/index.shtml

Related markets

Will Texas Governor winner be Republican party and Texas Senate winner be Repub…27.5% · $33,585 24h
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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.