KalshiOpenPolitics
Will Republican win the House race for NY-02?
NY-02 House winner?
Kalshi prices Will Republican win the House race for NY-02? at 85.5%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
85.5%
85.5¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- +3.5 pts up
- 7 days
- +4.0 pts up
Kalshi
No history available for this range yet.
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $19,629
- Total volume
- $91,459
- Liquidity
- $1,768
- Open interest
- 73,420
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 85¢ / 86¢
- Closes
- Nov 3, 11:00 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
86.0¢1.7K
87.0¢273.1
88.0¢2.5K
89.0¢80.8
90.0¢0
90.1¢0
90.9¢39.1
91.0¢226.1
Buy NO (asks)
15.0¢68.8
16.0¢800.9
17.0¢235.5
18.0¢1.2K
19.0¢1.0K
20.0¢350
24.0¢2.9
25.0¢28
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Kalshi YES execution: $5,791 at 85%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republican win the House race for NY-02?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 14:45 ET12 h ago | Yes buy | 85.0% | 1.0K | $850 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Republican win the House race for NY-02?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 14:45 ET12 h ago | Yes buy | 85.0% | 6.8K | $5,791 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.