KalshiSettledSports

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Santander vs Real Madrid: Total Goals

View on Kalshi ↗

This market has settled to NO. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.

Implied probability

1.0%

1.0¢ per contract

1 hour: −63.5 pts down
24 hours: −62.0 pts down
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $681K
Total volume: $681K
Liquidity: —
Open interest: 252,316
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 1, 12:21 ET
Status: settled

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

12:10 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $5,690 at 77%
12:12 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $24,405 at 94%
12:12 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $5,053 at 87%
12:14 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $5,000 at 99%
12:35 ET EST
Kalshi moves 71% → 1%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?Sports · Kalshi ↗	12:14 ET45 min ago	No sell	99.0%	5.0K	$5,000	—	—	—	Normal
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?Sports · Kalshi ↗	12:14 ET45 min ago	No sell	99.0%	5.0K	$5,000	—	—	—	Normal
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?Sports · Kalshi ↗	12:12 ET47 min ago	No sell	87.0%	5.8K	$5,053	—	—	—	Normal
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?Sports · Kalshi ↗	12:12 ET47 min ago	No sell	94.0%	26K	$24,405	—	—	—	Normal
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?Sports · Kalshi ↗	12:10 ET49 min ago	No sell	77.0%	3.1K	$2,392	—	—	—	Normal
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?Sports · Kalshi ↗	12:10 ET49 min ago	No sell	77.0%	7.4K	$5,690	—	—	—	Normal
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?Sports · Kalshi ↗	10:40 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	86.0%	725	$624	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Santander vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.foxsports.com

Related markets

Real Madrid wins98.5% · $3.41M 24h
Detroit wins62.5% · $1.25M 24h
Buffalo wins by over 3.5 points?46.5% · $1.05M 24h
Arizona wins24.5% · $471K 24h
Atlanta wins45.5% · $388K 24h
Lyon wins85.5% · $327K 24h
Braelon Allen: 1+ touchdowns51.5% · $321K 24h
Elijah Higgins: 1+ touchdowns13.5% · $282K 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.