KalshiOpenWeather

Will Oct 2026 be the hottest Oct ever?

This Oct 2026 is the hottest October ever?

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
95.0%
95.0¢ per contract
1 hour
−0.5 pts down
24 hours
+2.0 pts up
7 days
—
Kalshi
No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume
$10,490
Total volume
$101K
Liquidity
$544
Open interest
38,549
Spread
2.0¢
Best bid / ask
94¢ / 96¢
Closes
Nov 15, 22:59 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
96.0¢540.2
97.0¢3.9K
98.0¢128.7
99.0¢567.3
Buy NO (asks)
6.0¢2
9.0¢2
10.0¢4.9
11.0¢25
12.0¢10.1
13.0¢173.6
14.0¢195.5
19.0¢151.9

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.