KalshiOpenWeather
Will it rain in Houston between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?
Kalshi prices Will it rain in Houston between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026? at 99.0%.
View on Kalshi ↗Closing soon — trading ends 24 h from now at Nov 2, 01:00 ET. Liquidity often thins out near the close.
Implied probability
99.0%
99.0¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- +81.5 pts up
- 24 hours
- +28.0 pts up
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $7,007
- Total volume
- $8,979
- Liquidity
- $2,003
- Open interest
- 4,848
- Spread
- —
- Best bid / ask
- —
- Closes
- Nov 2, 01:00 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
No resting size
Buy NO (asks)
1.0¢29K
2.0¢23
24.0¢14
25.0¢20
30.0¢18
35.0¢20
38.0¢16
42.0¢23
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
No timeline events yet
Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will it rain in Houston between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?Weather · Kalshi ↗ | 01:06 ET1 h ago | Yes buy | 99.0% | 1.0K | $990 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will it rain in Houston between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?Weather · Kalshi ↗ | 01:06 ET1 h ago | Yes buy | 97.0% | 299 | $290 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will it rain in Houston between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?Weather · Kalshi ↗ | 01:06 ET1 h ago | Yes buy | 97.0% | 350 | $340 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.