KalshiOpenPoliticsGrade C · 63%
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Kalshi prices Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? at 71.5%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
71.5%
71.5¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- +0.5 pts up
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $383K
- Total volume
- $10.04M
- Liquidity
- $188K
- Open interest
- 5,766,787
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 71¢ / 72¢
- Closes
- Feb 1, 10:00 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
72.0¢186K
73.0¢109K
74.0¢369K
75.0¢59K
76.0¢33K
77.0¢39K
78.0¢14K
79.0¢21K
Buy NO (asks)
29.0¢89K
30.0¢58K
31.0¢360K
32.0¢32K
33.0¢30K
34.0¢45K
35.0¢7.5K
36.0¢4.8K
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,327 at 72%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 23:08 ET49 min ago | Yes buy | 72.0% | 3.2K | $2,327 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.