KalshiSettledSports

Marinos wins

Marinos vs Frontale

View on Kalshi ↗

This market has settled to YES. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.

Implied probability

99.0%

99.0¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $224K
Total volume: $227K
Liquidity: —
Open interest: 120,108
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 1, 01:58 ET
Status: settled

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

01:36 ET EDT
Large Kalshi YES execution: $8,158 at 99%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Marinos winsSports · Kalshi ↗	01:40 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	99.0%	832.8	$824	—	—	—	Normal
Marinos winsSports · Kalshi ↗	01:36 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	99.0%	739	$732	—	—	—	Normal
Marinos winsSports · Kalshi ↗	01:36 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	99.0%	739	$732	—	—	—	Normal
Marinos winsSports · Kalshi ↗	01:36 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	99.0%	8.2K	$8,158	98.5%	99.0%	+0.5 pts up	Normal
Marinos winsSports · Kalshi ↗	01:25 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	97.0%	1.0K	$998	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Marinos winsSports · Kalshi ↗	01:36 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	99.0%	8.2K	$8,158	98.5%	99.0%	+0.5 pts up	Normal

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Marinos wins the Marinos vs Frontale professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Marinos vs Frontale professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.espn.com/

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.