KalshiSettledSports

Josh Downs: 1+ touchdowns

Indianapolis vs Jacksonville: Touchdowns

View on Kalshi ↗

This market has settled to YES. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.

Implied probability

99.0%

99.0¢ per contract

1 hour: +93.5 pts up
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $213K
Total volume: $213K
Liquidity: —
Open interest: 212,920
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 1, 15:19 ET
Status: settled

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

15:00 ET EST
Kalshi moves 14% → 6%
15:12 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,970 at 99%
15:25 ET EST
Kalshi moves 6% → 99%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Josh Downs: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:12 ET28 min ago	Yes buy	99.0%	3.0K	$2,970	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Josh Downs scores at least 1+ touchdowns in the Indianapolis vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Josh Downs in the Indianapolis vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Josh Downs is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Josh Downs takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/

Related markets

Daniel Jones: 1+ touchdowns6.5% · $90,730 24h
Laquon Treadwell: 1+ touchdowns4.5% · $70,190 24h
Bhayshul Tuten: 2+ touchdowns99.0% · $51,982 24h
Trevor Lawrence: 1+ touchdowns2.5% · $49,851 24h
Tyler Warren: 1+ touchdowns8.0% · $48,077 24h
Jonathan Taylor: 1+ touchdowns7.0% · $36,153 24h
Brenton Strange: 1+ touchdowns1.5% · $34,157 24h
Chris Rodriguez Jr.: 2+ touchdowns5.5% · $31,274 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.