KalshiSettledSports

Full Game: Over 68.5 points scored

Northern Illinois vs UNLV: Total Points

View on Kalshi ↗
This market has settled. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.
Implied probability
1.0%
1.0¢ per contract
1 hour
−67.5 pts down
24 hours
—
7 days
—
Kalshi
Full Game: Over 68.5 points scored implied probability. Kalshi moved from 68% to 1%. Times shown in EST.0%20%40%60%80%100%00:30 ET00:53 ET01:17 ET01:41 ET01:05 ET

Market statistics

24h volume
$288K
Total volume
$229K
Liquidity
$315
Open interest
171,846
Spread
—
Best bid / ask
—
Closes
Nov 2, 21:30 ET
Status
settled
Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
  1. Large Kalshi YES execution: $4,952 at 54%
  2. Large Kalshi YES execution: $5,707 at 54%
  3. Large Kalshi YES execution: $3,667 at 55%
  4. Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,649 at 56%
  5. Kalshi moves 68% → 90%
  6. Kalshi moves 90% → 69%
  7. Kalshi moves 72% → 1%

Largest recent trades

By notional value
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Full Game: Over 68.5 points scoredSports · Kalshi ↗00:06 ET2 h agoYes buy56.0%4.7K$2,649———Normal
Full Game: Over 68.5 points scoredSports · Kalshi ↗23:55 ET2 h agoYes buy55.0%6.7K$3,667———Normal
Full Game: Over 68.5 points scoredSports · Kalshi ↗23:55 ET2 h agoYes buy54.0%11K$5,70754.5%55.0%+0.5 pts upElevated
Full Game: Over 68.5 points scoredSports · Kalshi ↗23:55 ET2 h agoYes buy54.0%1.7K$917———Normal
Full Game: Over 68.5 points scoredSports · Kalshi ↗23:55 ET2 h agoYes buy54.0%9.2K$4,952———Normal
Full Game: Over 68.5 points scoredSports · Kalshi ↗23:41 ET2 h agoYes buy44.0%5.4K$2,357———Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Full Game: Over 68.5 points scoredSports · Kalshi ↗23:55 ET2 h agoYes buy54.0%11K$5,70754.5%55.0%+0.5 pts upElevated