PolymarketOpenPoliticsGrade C · 75%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket prices Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? at 35.9%.
View on Polymarket ↗Implied probability
35.9%
35.9¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- −0.1 pts down
- 24 hours
- −2.3 pts down
- 7 days
- −1.6 pts down
Polymarket
No history available for this range yet.
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $29,201
- Total volume
- $16.42M
- Liquidity
- $263K
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.5¢
- Best bid / ask
- 36¢ / 36¢
- Closes
- Nov 7, 23:59 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
35.8¢1.4K
36.1¢206
36.2¢632.8
36.3¢2.2K
36.4¢200
36.5¢440
36.6¢500
36.7¢1.2K
Buy NO (asks)
64.4¢155.4
64.8¢300
64.9¢1.8K
65.0¢1.5K
65.1¢440
65.2¢500
65.4¢660
65.8¢2.1K
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
No timeline events yet
Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.
Largest recent trades
By notional value
No trades in this window
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Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.