PolymarketOpenSportsGrade C · 68%

Clemson vs. Florida State

View on Polymarket ↗
Implied probability
99.9%
99.9¢ per contract
1 hour
—
24 hours
—
7 days
—
Polymarket
No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume
$106K
Total volume
$102K
Liquidity
$299K
Open interest
—
Spread
—
Best bid / ask
—
Closes
Oct 31, 19:00 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Clemson vs. Florida State market surges to 89% on heavy volume

Weak evidence
Observed
Established from data

The implied probability for Clemson vs. Florida State is currently priced at 89.0%.

Established from data

The market moved +56.0 points over the last 24 hours, rising from 33.0% to 89.0%.

Established from data

In the most recent hour, the price increased by another 10.6 points.

Established from data

Over a seven-day period, the cumulative movement was +43.5 points.

Established from data

Trading volume in the last 24 hours reached $97,435.

Plausible explanation
Consistent with the evidence, not proven

The sharp rise in implied probability coincides with significant trading activity, suggesting new information or sentiment shifts drove participants to buy positions favoring this outcome [m24, v1].

Consistent with the evidence, not proven

The continued upward momentum in the final hour indicates that buying pressure persisted even after the major 24-hour surge [m1].

Caveats
  • Evidence does not specify the underlying news event (e.g., injury report, lineup change) causing the shift.

Evidence score 9/100. Ordering in time establishes correlation, not causation. Narrative written by qwen/qwen3.8-flash from a fixed evidence package and validated against it before publication; every figure is computed by ProudGlobeHead Markets.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.