KalshiOpenCulture

Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?

#1 searched person on Google in 2026

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

1.5%

1.5¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $0.00
Total volume: $14,626
Liquidity: $113
Open interest: 11,084
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Dec 31, 10:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

2.0¢63.4

3.0¢83

4.0¢1.1K

5.0¢49.6

6.0¢1.0K

7.0¢11K

8.0¢1.0K

10.0¢20

Buy NO (asks)

99.0¢11K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Zohran Mamdani is #1 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the individual ranked #1 in the “People” section of Google’s official Year in Search 2026 – Global list. Google’s report includes multiple sections such as Searches, News, Passings, and People — only the People section applies to this market. If Liam Payne is #1 in “Searches” but Donald Trump is #1 in “People,” the market resolves Yes to Donald Trump. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Google. Any references Google, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Google and Kalshi.

Source: https://trends.google.com/home

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.