KalshiOpenPoliticsGrade C · 61%
Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Kalshi prices Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 t… at 41.0%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
41.0%
41.0¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- +6.0 pts up
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
No history available for this range yet.
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $4,499
- Total volume
- $11,927
- Liquidity
- $1,343
- Open interest
- 8,678
- Spread
- 4.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 39¢ / 43¢
- Closes
- Nov 3, 09:00 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
43.0¢1.7K
54.0¢525
55.0¢1.0K
65.0¢1.0K
66.0¢100
75.0¢33
76.0¢525
77.0¢1.9K
Buy NO (asks)
58.0¢1.7K
61.0¢500
75.0¢96.6
76.0¢713
77.0¢500
83.0¢525
85.0¢525
86.0¢1.9K
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
No timeline events yet
Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.
Largest recent trades
By notional value
No trades in this window
Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.