KalshiOpenOther

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 103.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 2, 2026?

Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 2, 2026?

View on Kalshi ↗

Closing soon — trading ends 18 h from now at Nov 2, 14:30 ET. Liquidity often thins out near the close.

Implied probability

24.0%

24.0¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $701
Total volume: $2,444
Liquidity: $124
Open interest: 1,240
Spread: 4.0¢
Best bid / ask: 22¢ / 26¢
Closes: Nov 2, 14:30 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

13.0¢607

14.0¢172.5

15.0¢2.2K

17.0¢249

20.0¢1

29.0¢50.5

31.0¢10

32.0¢215

Buy NO (asks)

88.0¢324

89.0¢2.2K

90.0¢377

91.0¢500

94.0¢15.5

97.0¢423.5

99.0¢1.1K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(December 2026 contract) on November 02, 2026 is above 103.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day. For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 2 business days prior to the expiry date. The settlement contract and corresponding month represent standard exchange symbology where contracts are named after their delivery month, not their expiration date. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Source: https://www.theice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures

Related markets

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 102.49 USD/Bbl on Nov 2, 2026?43.5% · $3,311 24h
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 102.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 2, 2026?37.5% · $2,310 24h
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 103.49 USD/Bbl on Nov 2, 2026?23.5% · $2,156 24h
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 101.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 2, 2026?48.5% · $1,978 24h
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 104.49 USD/Bbl on Nov 2, 2026?26.0% · $953 24h
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 106.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 2, 2026?2.0% · $716 24h
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 105.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 2, 2026?8.5% · $644 24h
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 104.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 2, 2026?19.5% · $578 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.