KalshiOpenEconomicsGrade C · 0%

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
69.5%
69.5¢ per contract
1 hour
0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours
−0.5 pts down
7 days
—
Kalshi
No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume
$8,218
Total volume
$607K
Liquidity
$5,301
Open interest
334,793
Spread
1.0¢
Best bid / ask
69¢ / 70¢
Closes
Dec 9, 13:59 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
70.0¢3.6K
71.0¢12K
72.0¢917.8
73.0¢157.1
74.0¢314.2
75.0¢5.4K
76.0¢1.2K
77.0¢5.7K
Buy NO (asks)
31.0¢11K
32.0¢2.2K
33.0¢1.3K
34.0¢1.4K
35.0¢2.4K
36.0¢701
37.0¢800
38.0¢4

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.