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Will the brent crude oil close price be above 111.50 USD/Bbl on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

Brent crude oil price on Nov 2, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

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Implied probability

61.5%

61.5¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $836
Total volume: $984
Liquidity: $324
Open interest: 976
Spread: 3.0¢
Best bid / ask: 60¢ / 63¢
Closes: Nov 2, 17:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

61.0¢209

62.0¢500

64.0¢15.5

66.0¢10

74.0¢60.5

89.0¢24

90.0¢263

93.0¢1.7K

Buy NO (asks)

42.0¢500

47.0¢13.5

49.0¢163

50.0¢10

52.0¢50.5

81.0¢2

86.0¢2

87.0¢1.9K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on November 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 111.50 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Source: https://app.pyth.com/explore/Commodities.Index.BRENT%2FUSD?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%3Fsearch%3Dbrent%2Bindex%26state%3Dstable

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.