KalshiOpenPoliticsGrade C · 67%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Kalshi prices Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported b… at 3.5%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
3.5%
3.5¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- +0.5 pts up
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
No history available for this range yet.
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $18,689
- Total volume
- $1.69M
- Liquidity
- $849
- Open interest
- 556,516
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 3¢ / 4¢
- Closes
- Dec 1, 09:59 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
4.0¢15K
5.0¢24K
6.0¢11K
7.0¢28K
8.0¢1.0K
9.0¢1.1K
10.0¢667
11.0¢60
Buy NO (asks)
97.0¢3.5K
98.0¢95K
99.0¢519K
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
No timeline events yet
Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.
Largest recent trades
By notional value
No trades in this window
Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.