KalshiOpenPolitics

Will Republican win the House race for ME-2?

ME-02 House winner?

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
56.5%
56.5¢ per contract
1 hour
0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours
+0.5 pts up
7 days
—
Kalshi
Will Republican win the House race for ME-2? implied probability. Kalshi moved from 56% to 56%. Times shown in EST.0%20%40%60%80%100%07:55 ET

Market statistics

24h volume
$52,162
Total volume
$169K
Liquidity
$754
Open interest
129,531
Spread
1.0¢
Best bid / ask
56¢ / 57¢
Closes
Nov 3, 11:00 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
58.0¢546.7
59.0¢6.2K
60.0¢16K
61.0¢60.9
62.0¢0
63.0¢1.5K
65.0¢630
66.0¢2
Buy NO (asks)
43.0¢186.8
44.0¢2.1K
45.0¢37K
46.0¢11K
48.0¢12
49.0¢1.4K
50.0¢200
51.0¢83

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

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Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.