KalshiOpenFinance

Will Pepsi Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 101 ?

Pepsi Point of Sale Growth in October

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

49.0%

49.0¢ per contract

1 hour: +1.0 pts up
24 hours: −26.0 pts down
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $2,859
Total volume: $20,858
Liquidity: $2.00
Open interest: 4,803
Spread: 29.0¢
Best bid / ask: 20¢ / 49¢
Closes: Nov 2, 23:59 ET
Status: open

Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

49.0¢34

50.0¢43

51.0¢1

55.0¢16

57.0¢67.2

58.0¢52.3

59.0¢192

61.0¢200

Buy NO (asks)

80.0¢3

82.0¢1

83.0¢30

84.0¢26.8

85.0¢1.5K

88.0¢70.9

93.0¢30

94.0¢525

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

07:20 ET EST
Kalshi moves 50% → 53%
07:30 ET EST
Kalshi moves 53% → 46%
08:05 ET EST
Kalshi moves 46% → 55%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If the Carbon Arc Pepsi Point of Sale Growth (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 101, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 2nd calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 2nd. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Pepsi Point of Sale Growth was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's point-of-sale receipt panel using in-store and online purchases captured via receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=cea0ede4-b194-4b6c-a96d-02a2c90ad3db&entity=Pepsi

Related markets

Will Pepsi Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 99 ?98.5% · $15,732 24h
Will Pepsi Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 103 ?8.0% · $6,794 24h
Will Pepsi Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 97 ?98.5% · $3,225 24h
Will Pepsi Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 107 ?1.0% · $2,502 24h
Will Pepsi Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 93 ?98.5% · $1,812 24h
Will Pepsi Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 91 ?98.5% · $1,501 24h
Will Pepsi Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 94 ?98.5% · $1,172 24h
Will Pepsi Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 98 ?98.5% · $749 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.