KalshiOpenPolitics

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

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Implied probability

36.5%

36.5¢ per contract

1 hour: +2.0 pts up
24 hours: +18.5 pts up
7 days: −13.0 pts down

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $25,322
Total volume: $1.37M
Liquidity: $12.00
Open interest: 565,043
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 36¢ / 37¢
Closes: Oct 27, 10:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

36.0¢98

37.0¢3.5K

38.0¢100

39.0¢191

40.0¢4.1K

41.0¢167.2

42.0¢134.8

43.0¢2.2K

Buy NO (asks)

65.0¢25.2

66.0¢961.8

67.0¢118.8

68.0¢762.6

69.0¢2.5K

71.0¢253.2

72.0¢549

73.0¢2.3K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

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Largest recent trades

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Most price-impactful trades

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Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

Source: https://www.knesset.gov.il/

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.