KalshiOpenPolitics

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-25?

FL-25 House winner?

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
80.5%
80.5¢ per contract
1 hour
0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours
−1.5 pts down
7 days
−2.0 pts down
Kalshi
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-25? implied probability. Kalshi moved from 81% to 81%. Times shown in EST.0%20%40%60%80%100%08:10 ET08:18 ET08:27 ET08:36 ET08:45 ET

Market statistics

24h volume
$89,864
Total volume
$427K
Liquidity
$72,460
Open interest
166,432
Spread
1.0¢
Best bid / ask
80¢ / 81¢
Closes
Nov 3, 11:00 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
81.0¢89K
82.0¢60K
83.0¢1.1K
84.0¢90.9
85.0¢10K
86.0¢0
87.0¢0
88.0¢50
Buy NO (asks)
20.0¢1.1K
21.0¢1.6K
22.0¢60K
23.0¢845.6
24.0¢4.3K
25.0¢5.6K
26.0¢2
27.0¢250

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

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Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.