KalshiClosedCrypto

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $70000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

How low will BTC get in October?

View on Kalshi ↗

Trading is closed on this market and it is awaiting settlement. Quotes are frozen at their last observed values.

Implied probability

2.0%

2.0¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $7,031
Total volume: $138K
Liquidity: —
Open interest: 63,361
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Oct 31, 23:59 ET
Status: closed

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $70000.00, then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Source: https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/

Related markets

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $65000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?1.0% · $39.41 24h
Bitcoin price on Nov 1, 2026?54.5% · $86,333 24h
Bitcoin price on Nov 1, 2026?72.5% · $84,879 24h
Bitcoin price on Nov 1, 2026?92.5% · $72,409 24h
Bitcoin price on Nov 1, 2026?35.5% · $72,261 24h
Bitcoin price on Nov 1, 2026?97.5% · $66,348 24h
Bitcoin price on Nov 1, 2026?98.5% · $65,843 24h
Bitcoin price on Nov 1, 2026?7.5% · $65,805 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.