KalshiOpenPolitics

Who will win the next presidential election?

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
11.5%
11.5¢ per contract
1 hour
0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours
−0.5 pts down
7 days
+1.0 pts up
Kalshi
No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume
$11,216
Total volume
$5.96M
Liquidity
$22,278
Open interest
2,680,450
Spread
1.0¢
Best bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
Closes
Nov 7, 10:00 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
12.0¢70K
13.0¢34K
14.0¢26.1
15.0¢1
16.0¢18K
17.0¢500
18.0¢221.8
19.0¢1.2K
Buy NO (asks)
89.0¢126K
90.0¢9.1K
90.1¢100.5
90.2¢37.3
90.3¢30.1
90.4¢125
90.5¢598.2
90.6¢45.9

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.