KalshiOpenWeather

Rain in Las Vegas in Nov 2026?

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

26.0%

26.0¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $2,700
Total volume: $2,784
Liquidity: $2.00
Open interest: 2,688
Spread: 10.0¢
Best bid / ask: 21¢ / 31¢
Closes: Nov 30, 23:59 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

60.0¢3

61.0¢9

62.0¢5

76.0¢54

77.0¢221.5

78.0¢45

91.0¢42

93.0¢1

Buy NO (asks)

85.0¢3

86.0¢9

87.0¢27

93.0¢9

94.0¢17

95.0¢18

96.0¢10

98.0¢75

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If the total precipitation at CLILAS in Las Vegas in Nov 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. The monthly precipitation total in the first National Weather Service Daily Climate Report containing all calendar days of the month determines this market, subject to the material-error and revised-data provisions in the contract terms.

Source: https://weather.com/kalshi

Related markets

Rain in Las Vegas in Nov 2026?1.0% · $16,466 24h
Rain in Las Vegas in Nov 2026?25.0% · $1,368 24h
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Will it rain in College Station between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?99.0% · $77,202 24h
Will it rain in Milwaukee between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?99.0% · $47,846 24h
Will it rain in Springfield on Nov 1, 2026?99.0% · $21,153 24h
Will it rain in Chicago on Nov 1, 2026?99.0% · $15,650 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.